The Patterson Report

Richard Patterson

An election insight & how it will effect us all

One observation – and I have been growing more concerned about this in recent years – is a situation that, I suspect, is about to become more ‘acute’ and have a significant impact on our client’s real estate transactions in future years.

I refer to the ever-increasing grab of cash that the state government takes when its citizens move house – stamp duty and the recently introduced ‘Torrens Assurance Levy’.

Consider stamp duty first. This is applied at a rate that starts at 1.25% (for the first $14,000) and increments up to a rate of 7% – as the property value increases! When these rates were set many decades ago it was possible to buy an average home in Sydney for much less than $150,000. That same average home today would cost in excess of $600,000 and is predicted to be in excess of $1,250,000 within another 8 years! That will come soon enough, given the fresh memory of the new millennium 11 years ago.

The stamp duty on a typical property in 1970 would have been $3,408 (2.43% of its value) while in the current year it is $23,188 (3.77%). In 2019 it will be a whopping $56,127 (4.38%).

I re-iterate that we are still referring to an ‘average’ house in Sydney – not prestige property. Nor are we referring to wealthy land owners! Many ‘average’ Sydney homeowners would be used to paying prices well in excess of these amounts.

On top of these stamp duty charges the NSW government recently introduced an additional new charge the ‘Torrens Assurance Levy’. This is an additional fee charged upon registration of a transfer of property.

The rationale for this new impost is to pay for claims, the government states, that are being made with regard to fraudulent use of titles to property and the implementation of enhanced security measures in Certificates of Title.

However, there has always been a charge of $4.00 for every transfer lodged for registration. For decades, this has been more than adequate to cover any such claims. The NSW government did not produce any data on the state of this fund and any pending claims. I suspect the fund has a healthy balance!

As to ‘the enhanced security measures’ on Certificates of Title – these measures were introduced many years ago and financed, at that time, by a doubling of the registration fee (another $90.00). No-one had an issue with the increase at that time.

The justification (and, indeed, the name of the cash grab) now being made by the NSW government for this levy is nothing short of a lie. It is simply a grab for extra cash from home buyers.

The NSW opposition promised, at the time the charge was introduced, to remove the levy should it be elected in March 2011. Let’s hope this promise is not conveniently forgotten!

As noted earlier I observed an increasing client unease with respect to these imposts by government. I feel that we are now closing in on a ‘tipping point’ – where these charges will be a genuine disincentive to families moving house (whether it be upgrading to something bigger to accommodate a growing family or retirees downsizing).

The root of this problem is the insidious concept of bracket creep – where a scale is set when property values are low but providing for automatic increasing percentage amounts as property values escalates. Nobody notices at the beginning with small increments annually – but, eventually, it becomes painfully obvious that the imposts have become quite draconian. Are we near that point?

I firmly believe it is now time to for the government (whoever it may be after 26 March 2011) to have a serious look at the structure of the stamp duty tables – with a view to ‘flattening’ the rates applied to each bracket of property value – and regularly indexing those scales.

An average home buyer in NSW should be paying no more than 3% in stamp duty. This is the rate applied just 10 years ago! In a short 10 years it is now approaching 4%. The goose has no more golden eggs left!

Until next time

Richard

source : Paul Denny

Richard Patterson

Predictions for the New Year

Happy New Year to all our community and let’s hope it is a safe peaceful and prosperous one for us all.

January has kick started the selling year off with strong prices being achieved and decisions by buyers being made quickly.

Source: Phil’s Stock World

Sitting on a committee the other day with other R&W principals, everyone reported the same buying activity from the eastern suburbs, inner city, inner west and western suburbs.

Listening to a stock market analyst’s predictions, he reports a “steady as she goes” for the first 6 months of the year with a noticeable positive upward turn for the later part of the year.

Richardson & Wrench Lindfield have sold six properties in January and two houses in February to date. We are experiencing a positive mood within the market place and prices are strongly reflecting the knowledge of purchasers, in regards to current sale prices.

Please see below the comparison of the last quarters from 2008 through to 2010 for your interest of real estate prices in Lindfield, Killara and Roseville.

Lindfield

Total Value of Property Sold in Lindfield – 4th quarter

2008 – $22,377,250

2009 – $52,478,000

2010 – $37,957,324

Number of houses sold in Lindfield – 4th quarter

2008 – 18

2009 – 35

2010 – 29

Median Lindfield price in the 4th quarter

2008 – $1,142,500

2009 – $1,380,000

2010 – $1,283,000

Roseville

Total Value of Property Sold in Roseville – 4th quarter

2008 – $40,586,000

2009 – $68,827,297

2010 – $52,401,000

Number of houses sold in Roseville – 4th quarter

2008 – 29

2009 – 43

2010 – 38

Median Roseville price in the 4th quarter

2008 – $1,370,000

2009 – $1,440,000

2010 – $1,360,000

Killara

Total Value of Property Sold in Killara – 4th quarter

2008 – $29,063,000

2009 – $59,382,488

2010 – $51,640,500

Number of houses sold in Killara – 4th quarter

2008 – 18

2009 – 30

2010 – 33

Median Killara price in the 4th quarter

2008 – $1,282,500

2009 – $1,588,000

2010 – $1,605,000

Until next time,

Richard

Richard Patterson

Rental market ….demand greater than supply

What a month Monique and her department have had leasing properties in Lindfield, Roseville and Killara. We are now in the position that they are desperately requiring more properties to lease as we have a waiting list of tenants and the cupboard is bare…..

Monique has seen multiple applications on all properties with those looking to settle before Christmas and the strict application process we have in place makes certain that only the very best applicants are accepted. So, if  your property is not leasing maybe a call to Monique , our fabulous senior property manager, and she will help you find a great tenant to maximize the return on your investment property. 

Until next time

Richard

Richard Patterson

Interesting comparable stats from 3rd quarter 2009 & 2010

It is particularly interesting to read the real estate property stats for our Lindfield, Roseville and Killara pocket, comparing the years performance against previous years, particularly, when we have all been experiencing a changeable market place.

Home sales in Lindfield 2009

3rd quarter

Volume                                              Number of sales                                                Medium price

$50,130,000                                            31                                                                            $1,440,000

Home sales in Lindfield 2010                                                                                          

3rd quarter

Volume                                                  Number of sales                                          Medium price

$20,486,000                                               19                                                                       $1,160,000

Strata Apartments in Lindfield 2009

3rd quarter

Volume                                                   Number of sales                                          Medium price

$36,517,756                                                 50                                                                     $648,000

Strata Apartments in Lindfield 2010

3rd quarter

Volume                                                 Number of sales                                           Medium price

$13,210,000                                                   22                                                                    $541,750

we’ll look at Roseville in our next addition

until next time

Richard

Richard Patterson

Surge in the rental and sales markets prior to Christmas

This time of the year we normally see an increase in tenants looking to move and settle into their new property prior to Christmas and this year is no exception.

We have seen a rise in positive activity over the past two weeks with increase in numbers of inspections and applications taken and the deals done.

The Lindfield real estate market and the Roseville/Killara real estate market have seen an influx of properties for sale, with some buyers looking to place their purchases into the rental pool. The low to mid range properties are walking out the door after the first week of opens to the growing numbers of frustrated prospective tenants, however, the top end of the rental market and sales market is a little slower, but when correctly priced is moving stronger than 1 month ago. Now should be the perfect time to catch the last selling phase in the 2010 Lindfield, Roseville or Killara property market.

It will be interesting to gauge any impact on buyer momentum in the next few weeks after the Reserve Bank announced an increase of .25%. Previously this has had little impact in our demographics and I believe that we again will be lucky enough to see the same impact as the long term benefit of Lindfield, Roseville and Killara real estate is predicted by well respected economist Ross Greenwood, to see a 20% growth over the next 2 years and his recommendation, to those who may be feeling mortgage stress, is to hang in there for the long term maximisation of their investment.

Wallabies players jump on James O'Connor

source: Getty Images

All in all I feel we are sitting in the best pocket in Sydney in real estate and family lifestyle terms, we should sit back and smell the roses! ( in between watching the Wallabies continue to win )

until next time

Richard

Richard Patterson

Plans For Our Growing City

As a local real estate agency, we feel it is our role to keep you abreast of what is happening in the market.

We simply cannot get enough properties to cater for demand in the lower to middle price bracket, both these sectors are selling quickly and for very strong prices.

Markets such as this make a lot of people nervous about the best plan of attack. Some are keen to get into the market before prices rise even further, others are tentative about selling their existing property for fear they won’t find something suitable to buy.

This is a difficult predicament and, in some cases, they may not find something immediately and forced to rent or find temporary accommodation with family or friends.

On a daily basis we are asked by both buyers and sellers what they should do. Our role isn’t to make decisions for people, but more to share knowledge and experience. We use our longevity in the industry (weathering many booms and busts) and take into consideration local and external factors that are likely to affect property prices now and in the future to give our clients the knowledge they need to make the right decision for themselves.

One such factor that may have an effect on the real estate market over the next 12 months, and importantly the next 20 years, is the NSW Government’s Metropolitan Strategy. With a population forecast to reach 6 billion by 2036, the State Government predicts there will be the need for an additional 770,000 homes by 2036.

In our Sydney market, one of the key directions of the Metropolitan Strategy is to provide 30,000 new homes in the Inner West. The focus will be in and around existing strategic and local centres while achieving a mix of zones and dwelling forms and improving housing affordability.

The target by 2031 in the Inner West will be approximately 1,100 new dwellings per annum.

With plans already in progress to commence building a series of new apartment blocks throughout the area, many due for completion within the next 12 months, unit buyers will have a lot more choice. More stock may see new unit prices temporarily plateau.

What we are finding is our 2nd hand unit market is selling strongly, with a great shortage in this area, resulting in higher prices being achieved.

Conversely, land becomes highly sought after. Developers seek it for medium density housing development. Buyers want a house and land to cater to their expanding families. Consequently demand and competition sees house prices increase.

Often a home is worth more in original condition than spending pre- sale money on “a do-up” for the market, as the buyer demand for potential land sites is extremely strong as they are becoming so rare.

While this is a broad generalisation, it points out how astute buyers and sellers should not only read what is happening in the marketplace now but also factors that will affect the long term value of their property in the future.

Bearing this in mind, one word of advice we may give to people at present is if they dream of moving from a unit to a house in the not too distant future, perhaps they should consider doing so sooner rather than later. Unit prices at present are achieving very good results and selling relatively quickly.

House prices, while some may consider expensive at present, are more than likely only going to increase further, yesterday it was announced by a well respected property analysist that in the next 2 years we would see a 20% increase in property values! Just a few things to consider…

If you like a more personalised discussion about your situation please contact me.

Until next time,

Richard

Something for your interest

source: SQM research.com.au

Richard Patterson

New zoning in Lindfield…

Confused about the new zoning within the Lindfield area? The team at R&W Lindfield will be able to discuss this with you…

We will keep you updated with the new zoning, however if you have any questions, please give us a call.

Until next time,

Richard Patterson

Richard Patterson

New zoning…

Confused about the new zoning within the Lindfield area? The team at R&W Lindfield will be able to discuss this with you…

KILLARA

16 Churchill Rd – N/D – 17.06.10

LINDFIELD

31 Allambie Ave – N/D – 21.06.10

14 Havilah Rd – N/D – 21.06.10

102 Wellington Rd – $1.325

84 Provincial Rd – N/D

14 Woodlands Rd – $1.370

17 Coonawarra Ave – N/D

ROSEVILLE

18 Duntroon Ave – N/D

14 Cranbrooke – $1.530

Until next time,

Richard Patterson

Richard Patterson

When Renters do a runner………

As a landlord, if you believe the premises have been abandoned and you have sufficient evidence to support your belief, such as witness statements, disconnection notices and if the place internally looks empty, then you are at liberty to enter and secure the premises.

If you are uncertain, and it is recommended in all circumstances regardless, you should obtain legal advice first or obtain an order from the Tribunal which will provide you with legal access.

If there are goods left behind, these must be stored by you in a safe place pending claim by the tenant. You cannot dispose of the goods.

You must then provide written notice to the tenant (to their nominated address or to a tenant nominated party) that you have collected the goods and state where they are being held in safe storage and also publish a notice in a state distributed paper to this effect. The notice must also state what costs are to be deducted and when the goods will be auctioned.

If there is no part or full claim and settlement by the tenant or any other third party that may have a right to the property, eg. Hire or finance companies, prior to the advertised auction date, then you can sell the goods by way of public auction.

You are not entitled to keep more than your reasonable costs for entry, removal, storage and sale costs and must deliver the balance of monies to the tenant.

If you become involved with a case of ‘abandoned premises’ of your property, you are well advised to seek professional advice before any actions.

This weeks area sales:

18th June 2010

Killara Real Estate

10/568 Pacific Hwy – N/D, 15th June

21 Prince Rd – N/D, 16th June

1 Werona Ave – N/D, 16th June

Lindfield Real Estate

84 Provincial Rd – Sold prior to auction, 12th June

14 Woodlands Road - $1,370,000 – 11th June

East Lindfield Real Estate

None

Roseville Real Estate

None

until next time,

Richard Patterson

Richard Patterson

The State that was……

So the week of the state budget and what do we believe? It’s always hard not to be too sceptical after looking at their track record in NSW. If any of us have been unfortunate enough to have a visit to the hospital in local times it is all too apparent that changes have been promised time and again and all we see for the promises is further dilapidation with nurses and doctors not receiving the very necessary support needed.

On a recent trip to Thailand, a long but not a serious story, we ended up with a visit to the local hospital (lucky we were with ex-pats at the time so they knew where to go) and the service and facilities were so outstanding we all commented… this is what we should expect at the Royal North Shore.

Now in regards to housing, the Treasurer, Eric Roozendaal has certainly made changes for people over 65 if you buy off the plan and spend under $600,000. This unfortunately, does not bode well for us on the North Shore, as the price point is far too low.

What a pity, as many of our self funded retirees are in a position where this would make a substantial difference in helping them to downsize in their own backyard, into one of the many available upcoming developments. I feel a positive roll on effect would show stronger sales of these projects which would help stop empty apartment developments sit there for years without being occupied.

Keeping on the same theme at Richardson & Wrench Lindfield we do take pride at being at the forefront of the changes to the development codes taking place in our area.

“Today’s announcement means investment can start now, to address our urgent infrastructure needs, rather than waiting for revenue proceeds of the Resources Super Profits Tax to flow,” the government said.

Source: Business SpectatorWhat a pity, as many of our self funded retirees are in a position where this would make a substantial difference in helping them to downsize in their own backyard, into one of the many available upcoming developments. I feel a positive roll on effect would show stronger sales of these projects which would help stop empty apartment developments sit there for years without being occupied.

Keeping on the same theme at Richardson & Wrench Lindfield we do take pride at being at the forefront of the changes to the development codes taking place in our area.

“Today’s announcement means investment can start now, to address our urgent infrastructure needs, rather than waiting for revenue proceeds of the Resources Super Profits Tax to flow,” the government said.

Source: Business Spectator

Reading further through this article it states that the PM is spending this “mining bonanza money” in Perth and Queensland. Whilst I see this as a true necessity, it does make me wonder if this is ever going to be addressed by our State Government for our area, with all this new development how are our roads and village centres going to cope with the population expansion?

Perhaps Premier Keneally is going to leave that one for Barry!

It is clear the State Government is aware of the problems facing Sydney’s future, including sustaining population growth, low levels of housing construction and high property prices. Interestingly, a report recently released by BIS Shrapnel for the Urban Taskforce developers’ lobby has revealed that it is these factors that could see Melbourne become Australia’s economic powerhouse by 2037. Let’s hope NSW state Government wake’s up!

This week’s results in the Lindfield Real Estate Market, Roseville Real Estate Market and the Killara Real Estate Market.

KILLARA

15 Ellsmore Ave, KILLARA

11 Powell St, KILLARA – N/D

LINDFIELD

39 Grosvener Rd, LINDFIELD – $1,190,000

10a Larool Ave, LINDFIELD – $1,725,000

375 Pacific Hwy, LINDFIELD – $1,260,000

EAST LINDFIELD

None

ROSEVILLE

None

Until next time,

Richard Patterson

Principal